Week 14 · NFL

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Green Bay Packers a 57% chance to beat Buffalo Bills in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#5 AFC East

Buffalo Bills

85% to make the playoffs

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadGreen Bay Packers −2.5Model

Projected scoreBuffalo Bills 21 — Green Bay Packers 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Green Bay Packers by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP

85/ 100

CalmMayhem

Buffalo Bills

43%

to win

Green Bay Packers

57%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Buffalo Bills

Green Bay Packers

#3Offense · EPA/play#4

#13Defense · EPA/play#22

#2Success rate#5

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

7 meetings since 1999

Buffalo Bills leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Buffalo Bills 27–17 Green Bay Packers— Buffalo Bills won

via Google News

What Buffalo Bills is hearing

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

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