Week 15 · NFL

Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo Bills a 63% chance to beat Chicago Bears in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

@

#5 AFC East

Buffalo Bills

85% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo Bills −4.5Model
Projected scoreChicago Bears 20 — Buffalo Bills 24

Buffalo Bills is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Chicago Bears

37%

to win

Buffalo Bills

63%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Chicago Bears
vs
Buffalo Bills
#8Offense · EPA/play#3
#19Defense · EPA/play#13
#9Success rate#2

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Buffalo Bills leads 4–3

Last met 2022 · Chicago Bears 13–35 Buffalo Bills— Buffalo Bills won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Chicago Bears is hearing

What Buffalo Bills is hearing

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