Week 15 · NFL

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Denver Broncos a 68% chance to beat Las Vegas Raiders in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

@

#29 AFC West

Las Vegas Raiders

3% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDenver Broncos −6.5Model
Projected scoreDenver Broncos 25Las Vegas Raiders 19

Denver Broncos is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 68% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Denver Broncos

68%

to win

Las Vegas Raiders

32%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Denver Broncos
vs
Las Vegas Raiders
#10Offense · EPA/play#32
#6Defense · EPA/play#21
#16Success rate#30

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Denver Broncos leads 31–23

Last met 2025 · Las Vegas Raiders 1724 Denver BroncosDenver Broncos won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Denver Broncos is hearing

What Las Vegas Raiders is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.