Week 16 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Philadelphia Eagles a 57% chance to beat Houston Texans in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#13 AFC South
Houston Texans
68% to make the playoffs

#7 NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles
72% to make the playoffs
A coin flip. The model nudges Philadelphia Eagles by a field goal — 57% to win.
Houston Texans
43%
to win
Philadelphia Eagles
57%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Philadelphia Eagles leads 6–0
Last met 2022 · Houston Texans 17–29 Philadelphia Eagles— Philadelphia Eagles won
What Houston Texans is hearing
What Philadelphia Eagles is hearing
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.
What Houston Texans is hearing
What Philadelphia Eagles is hearing