Week 16 · NFL

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Los Angeles Chargers a 76% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#11 AFC West

Los Angeles Chargers

67% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadLos Angeles Chargers −9.5Model
Projected scoreLos Angeles Chargers 27 — Miami Dolphins 17

Los Angeles Chargers should handle it: 9.5-point edge, 76% to win.

Chaos meter48 · LEAN
48/ 100
CalmMayhem

Los Angeles Chargers

76%

to win

Miami Dolphins

24%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Los Angeles Chargers
vs
Miami Dolphins
#25Offense · EPA/play#22
#7Defense · EPA/play#26
#19Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

18 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 12–6

Last met 2025 · Miami Dolphins 27–29 Los Angeles Chargers— Los Angeles Chargers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Los Angeles Chargers is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

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