AFC West
Los Angeles Chargers
2026 projection
Projected wins
10
10–7
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Schedule
#12
12th-hardest slate
Make playoffs
67%
win division 27%
Win Super Bowl
4%
reach SB 8%
The model projects Los Angeles Chargers to about 10 wins, with a 67% shot at the playoffs and a 7% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Los Angeles Chargers win? The Ninjas project 10 · Vegas 9.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
vs Arizona Cardinals· Wk 178% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Arizona CardinalsVegas -10.5Likely Win78%
- Wk 2
vs Las Vegas RaidersVegas -8.5Likely Win74% - Wk 3
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 4
@ Seattle SeahawksVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 5
vs Denver BroncosVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 6
@ Kansas City ChiefsVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 8
@ Los Angeles RamsLean Loss36% - Wk 9
vs Houston TexansLean Win57% - Wk 10
@ Baltimore RavensLean Loss36% - Wk 11
vs New York JetsLikely Win81% - Wk 12
vs New England PatriotsLean Win58% - Wk 13
@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersToss-up51% - Wk 14@ Las Vegas RaidersLikely Win70%
- Wk 15
vs San Francisco 49ersToss-up51% - Wk 16
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win74% - Wk 17vs Kansas City ChiefsToss-up52%
- Wk 18@ Denver BroncosToss-up46%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- DLDalvin Tomlinsonfrom Arizona Cardinals
- TEDavid Njokufrom Cleveland Browns
- TECharlie Kolarfrom Baltimore Ravens
- FBAlec Ingoldfrom Miami Dolphins
Lost ↑
- GZion Johnsonreleased / FA
- CBradley Bozemanreleased / FA
- GMekhi Bectonreleased / FA
- GTrey Pipkinsreleased / FA
- WRKeenan Allenreleased / FA
- TAustin Deculusreleased / FA
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
8 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #22Akheem MesidorMiami (FL)DE
- R2 · #63Jake SlaughterFloridaC
- R4 · #105Brenen ThompsonMississippi St.WR
- R4 · #117Travis BurkeMemphisOT
- R4 · #131Genesis SmithArizonaS
- R5 · #145Nick BarrettSouth CarolinaDT
- R6 · #202Logan TaylorBoston Col.G
- R6 · #206Alex HarkeyOregonOT
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