AFC West
Los Angeles Chargers
2026 projection
Projected wins
9.5
10–7
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
67%
win division 26%
Win Super Bowl
4%
reach SB 8%
The model projects Los Angeles Chargers to about 9.5 wins, with a 67% shot at the playoffs and a 7% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
vs Arizona Cardinals· Wk 180% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Arizona CardinalsVegas -11.5Likely Win80%
- Wk 2
vs Las Vegas RaidersVegas -8.5Likely Win74% - Wk 3
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 4
@ Seattle SeahawksVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 5
vs Denver BroncosVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 6
@ Kansas City ChiefsLean Loss41% - Wk 8
@ Los Angeles RamsLean Loss36% - Wk 9
vs Houston TexansLean Win57% - Wk 10
@ Baltimore RavensLean Loss36% - Wk 11
vs New York JetsLikely Win81% - Wk 12
vs New England PatriotsLean Win58% - Wk 13
@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersToss-up51% - Wk 14@ Las Vegas RaidersLikely Win70%
- Wk 15
vs San Francisco 49ersToss-up51% - Wk 16
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win74% - Wk 17vs Kansas City ChiefsToss-up52%
- Wk 18@ Denver BroncosToss-up46%
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