Week 16 · NFL

New England Patriots vs New York Jets prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New England Patriots a 71% chance to beat New York Jets in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

@

#30 AFC East

New York Jets

4% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadNew England Patriots −7.5Model
Projected scoreNew England Patriots 26 — New York Jets 18

New England Patriots is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

New England Patriots

71%

to win

New York Jets

29%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New England Patriots
vs
New York Jets
#1Offense · EPA/play#29
#11Defense · EPA/play#31
#3Success rate#29

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

56 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 42–14

Last met 2025 · New York Jets 10–42 New England Patriots— New England Patriots won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New England Patriots is hearing

What New York Jets is hearing

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