Week 16 · NFL

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Minnesota Vikings a 60% chance to beat Washington Commanders in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#21 NFC East

Washington Commanders

15% to make the playoffs

@

#19 NFC North

Minnesota Vikings

27% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadMinnesota Vikings −3.5Model
Projected scoreWashington Commanders 20 — Minnesota Vikings 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Minnesota Vikings by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP
80/ 100
CalmMayhem

Washington Commanders

40%

to win

Minnesota Vikings

60%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Washington Commanders
vs
Minnesota Vikings
#18Offense · EPA/play#28
#30Defense · EPA/play#4
#10Success rate#23

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings since 1999

Minnesota Vikings leads 9–4

Last met 2025 · Minnesota Vikings 31–0 Washington Commanders— Minnesota Vikings won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Washington Commanders is hearing

What Minnesota Vikings is hearing

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