Week 17 · NFL

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo Bills a 78% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#5 AFC East

Buffalo Bills

85% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo Bills −10.5Model
Projected scoreBuffalo Bills 27 — Miami Dolphins 17

Buffalo Bills should handle it: 10.5-point edge, 78% to win.

Chaos meter44 · LEAN
44/ 100
CalmMayhem

Buffalo Bills

78%

to win

Miami Dolphins

22%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Buffalo Bills
vs
Miami Dolphins
#3Offense · EPA/play#22
#13Defense · EPA/play#26
#2Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

55 meetings since 1999

Buffalo Bills leads 35–20

Last met 2025 · Miami Dolphins 30–13 Buffalo Bills— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Buffalo Bills is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

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