Week 17 · NFL

Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Green Bay Packers a 63% chance to beat Houston Texans in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#13 AFC South

Houston Texans

68% to make the playoffs

@

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadGreen Bay Packers −4.5Model
Projected scoreHouston Texans 20Green Bay Packers 24

Green Bay Packers is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Houston Texans

37%

to win

Green Bay Packers

63%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Houston Texans
vs
Green Bay Packers
#21Offense · EPA/play#4
#1Defense · EPA/play#22
#28Success rate#5

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings since 1999

Green Bay Packers leads 5–1

Last met 2024 · Green Bay Packers 2422 Houston TexansGreen Bay Packers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Houston Texans is hearing

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

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