Week 18 · NFL

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Green Bay Packers a 60% chance to beat Detroit Lions in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#9 NFC North

Detroit Lions

69% to make the playoffs

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadGreen Bay Packers −3.5Model

Projected scoreDetroit Lions 20 — Green Bay Packers 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Green Bay Packers by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP

80/ 100

CalmMayhem

Detroit Lions

40%

to win

Green Bay Packers

60%

to win

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

2025 efficiency · ranks

Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

#7Offense · EPA/play#4

#14Defense · EPA/play#22

#12Success rate#5

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

54 meetings since 1999

Green Bay Packers leads 36–18

Last met 2025 · Detroit Lions 24–31 Green Bay Packers— Green Bay Packers won

via Google News

What Detroit Lions is hearing

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.