Week 18 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston Texans a 74% chance to beat Tennessee Titans in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#27 AFC South
Tennessee Titans
10% to make the playoffs

#13 AFC South
Houston Texans
68% to make the playoffs
Houston Texans is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 74% on the model.
Tennessee Titans
26%
to win
Houston Texans
74%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
All square 24–24
Last met 2025 · Tennessee Titans 13–16 Houston Texans— Houston Texans won
What Tennessee Titans is hearing
What Houston Texans is hearing
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.
What Houston Texans is hearing
What Tennessee Titans is hearing