Week 9 · College Football

UConn vs Air Force prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Air Force a 51% chance to beat UConn in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#102 FBS Independent

UConn

2% to make the 12

@

#108 Mountain West Conference

Air Force

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadAir Force −0.5Model
Projected scoreUConn 26 — Air Force 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Air Force by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

UConn

49%

to win

Air Force

51%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UConn
vs
Air Force
#9Offense · EPA/play#20
#109Defense · EPA/play#136
#22Explosiveness#98
#28Success rate#14
68%Returning production63%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

UConn leads 1–0

Last met 2025 · UConn 26–16 Air Force— UConn won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UConn is hearing

What Air Force is hearing

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