#102 FBS Independent

UConn

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does UConn win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

<1%

SOS

#117

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Lafayette91%
W2vs Maryland45%
W3@ Southern Miss50%
W4@ Miami (OH)34%
W5vs Syracuse44%
W6@ Temple39%
W8vs UMass81%
W9@ Air Force49%
W10vs North Carolina40%
W11vs James Madison21%
W12vs Old Dominion30%
W13@ Wyoming59%

Chaos meter37 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to James Madison → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 2%
16-team field: 3%
24-team field: 7%
Win conference: <1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 2% → 2%

Pre 2%Aug 2%

Up next

vs Lafayette· W191% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where UConn finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#53

+5.1 · off #38 / def #76

Talent composite

#97

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#114

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

68%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#38

EPA / play#9
Success rate#28
Explosiveness#22

Defense#76

EPA / play#109
Success rate#127

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.