Week 12 · College Football

UTEP vs Air Force prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Air Force a 81% chance to beat UTEP in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#134 Conference USA

UTEP

0% to make the 12

@

#108 Mountain West Conference

Air Force

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadAir Force −13.5Model
Projected scoreUTEP 19 — Air Force 33

Air Force should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

UTEP

19%

to win

Air Force

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UTEP
vs
Air Force
#131Offense · EPA/play#20
#43Defense · EPA/play#136
#4Explosiveness#98
#135Success rate#14
100%Returning production63%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

15 meetings all-time

Air Force leads 14–1

Last met 1995 · Air Force 56–46 UTEP— Air Force won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UTEP is hearing

What Air Force is hearing

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