Week 3 · College Football
Florida State vs Alabama prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Alabama a 84% chance to beat Florida State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#36 Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State
8% to make the 12
#14 Southeastern Conference
Alabama
31% to make the 12
The model's read
Alabama should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.
Florida State
16%
to win
Alabama
84%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFlorida StateAlabamaNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
6 meetings all-timeAlabama leads 3–2–1
Last met 2025 · Florida State 31–17 Alabama— Florida State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Florida State is hearing
What Alabama is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.