Week 5 · College Football
Baylor vs Arizona State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona State a 59% chance to beat Baylor in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#42 Big 12 Conference
Baylor
8% to make the 12
#35 Big 12 Conference
Arizona State
8% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Arizona State by a field goal — 59% to win.
Baylor
41%
to win
Arizona State
59%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksBaylorArizona StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
2 meetings all-timeArizona State leads 2–0
Last met 2025 · Baylor 24–27 Arizona State— Arizona State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Baylor is hearing
What Arizona State is hearing
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