Week 3 · College Football · Neutral site

Arizona State vs Kansas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona State a 61% chance to beat Kansas in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#35 Big 12 Conference

Arizona State

8% to make the 12

@

#63 Big 12 Conference

Kansas

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArizona State −4.5Model
Projected scoreArizona State 28 — Kansas 24

Arizona State is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arizona State

61%

to win

Kansas

39%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arizona State
vs
Kansas
#89Offense · EPA/play#34
#44Defense · EPA/play#117
#49Explosiveness#128
#104Success rate#13
70%Returning production41%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

Arizona State leads 1–0

Last met 2024 · Arizona State 35–31 Kansas— Arizona State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arizona State is hearing

What Kansas is hearing

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