#63 Big 12 Conference

Kansas

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Kansas win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#88

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Long Island University96%
W2vs Missouri36%
W3vs Arizona State37%
W5vs Middle Tennessee93%
W6@ Utah20%
W7@ Kansas State22%
W8vs Baylor47%
W9@ TCU33%
W10vs UCF62%
W11@ West Virginia44%
W12vs BYU25%
W13@ Oklahoma State41%

Chaos meter36 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Utah → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 4%
16-team field: 7%
24-team field: 14%
Win conference: 2%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 4% → 4%

Pre 4%Aug 4%

Up next

vs Long Island University· W196% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Kansas finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#58

+4.1 · off #48 / def #76

Talent composite

#48

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#72

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

41%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#48

EPA / play#34
Success rate#13
Explosiveness#128

Defense#76

EPA / play#117
Success rate#64

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.