Week 8 · College Football

Kansas State vs Arizona State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 54% chance to beat Arizona State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

@

#35 Big 12 Conference

Arizona State

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −1.5Model
Projected scoreKansas State 27 — Arizona State 25

A coin flip. The model nudges Kansas State by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas State

54%

to win

Arizona State

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas State
vs
Arizona State
#37Offense · EPA/play#89
#56Defense · EPA/play#44
#6Explosiveness#49
#92Success rate#104
69%Returning production70%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings all-time

Arizona State leads 6–1

Last met 2024 · Kansas State 14–24 Arizona State— Arizona State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas State is hearing

What Arizona State is hearing

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