Week 13 · College Football

Arizona State vs Arizona prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona a 61% chance to beat Arizona State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#35 Big 12 Conference

Arizona State

8% to make the 12

@

#25 Big 12 Conference

Arizona

12% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArizona −4.5Vegas
Projected scoreArizona State 24Arizona 28

Arizona is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arizona State

39%

to win

Arizona

61%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arizona State
vs
Arizona
#89Offense · EPA/play#69
#44Defense · EPA/play#26
#49Explosiveness#51
#104Success rate#66
70%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

89 meetings all-time

Arizona State leads 45–43–1

Last met 2025 · Arizona State 723 ArizonaArizona won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arizona State is hearing

What Arizona is hearing

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