Week 5 · College Football

Cincinnati vs Arizona prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona a 71% chance to beat Cincinnati in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#59 Big 12 Conference

Cincinnati

5% to make the 12

@

#25 Big 12 Conference

Arizona

12% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArizona −8.5Model
Projected scoreCincinnati 22 — Arizona 30

Arizona is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Cincinnati

29%

to win

Arizona

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Cincinnati
vs
Arizona
#16Offense · EPA/play#69
#93Defense · EPA/play#26
#32Explosiveness#51
#21Success rate#66
79%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

Arizona leads 1–0

Last met 2025 · Cincinnati 24–30 Arizona— Arizona won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Cincinnati is hearing

What Arizona is hearing

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