Week 8 · College Football

Iowa State vs Arizona prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona a 73% chance to beat Iowa State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#62 Big 12 Conference

Iowa State

4% to make the 12

@

#25 Big 12 Conference

Arizona

12% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArizona −9.5Model
Projected scoreIowa State 21 — Arizona 31

Arizona is the pick by 9.5, but it's live — 73% on the model.

Chaos meter54 · LIVE
54/ 100
CalmMayhem

Iowa State

27%

to win

Arizona

73%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Iowa State
vs
Arizona
#52Offense · EPA/play#69
#35Defense · EPA/play#26
#89Explosiveness#51
#38Success rate#66
58%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings all-time

Arizona leads 4–2–1

Last met 2025 · Iowa State 39–14 Arizona— Iowa State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Iowa State is hearing

What Arizona is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.