Week 11 · College Football

Utah vs Arizona prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arizona a 51% chance to beat Utah in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#27 Big 12 Conference

Utah

21% to make the 12

@

#25 Big 12 Conference

Arizona

12% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArizona −0.5Model
Projected scoreUtah 26 — Arizona 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Arizona by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

Utah

49%

to win

Arizona

51%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Utah
vs
Arizona
#3Offense · EPA/play#69
#24Defense · EPA/play#26
#60Explosiveness#51
#6Success rate#66
14%Returning production56%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

49 meetings all-time

Utah leads 26–21–2

Last met 2024 · Utah 10–23 Arizona— Arizona won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Utah is hearing

What Arizona is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.