#27 Big 12 Conference

Utah

Projected 8–4 · 8 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Utah win? The Ninjas project 8.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

21%

Title

Win conf

SOS

#47

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Idaho99%
W2vs Arkansas76%
W3vs Utah State91%
W4@ Iowa State68%
W6vs Kansas80%
W7@ Colorado71%
W8vs Houston60%
W9@ Cincinnati66%
W10vs BYU49%
W11@ Arizona50%
W12@ TCU58%
W13vs West Virginia82%

Chaos meter59 · HEATING UP

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to BYU → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 21%
16-team field: 29%
24-team field: 42%
Win conference: 9%
National title: 1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 21% → 21%

Pre 21%Aug 21%

Up next

vs Idaho· W199% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Utah finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

+22.2 · off #6 / def #17

Talent composite

#44

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#40

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

14%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#6

EPA / play#3
Success rate#6
Explosiveness#60

Defense#17

EPA / play#24
Success rate#32

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3.2★ avg

Net

-3

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.