Week 6 · College Football

South Alabama vs Arkansas St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Arkansas St a 54% chance to beat South Alabama in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

@

#109 Sun Belt Conference

Arkansas St

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadArkansas St −1.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Alabama 25 — Arkansas St 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Arkansas St by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Alabama

46%

to win

Arkansas St

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Alabama
vs
Arkansas St
#75Offense · EPA/play#110
#121Defense · EPA/play#97
#100Explosiveness#121
#76Success rate#75
25%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Alabama is hearing

What Arkansas St is hearing

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