Week 13 · College Football

Troy vs Arkansas St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Troy a 54% chance to beat Arkansas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#88 Sun Belt Conference

Troy

1% to make the 12

@

#109 Sun Belt Conference

Arkansas St

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTroy −1.5Model
Projected scoreTroy 27 — Arkansas St 25

A coin flip. The model nudges Troy by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

Troy

54%

to win

Arkansas St

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Troy
vs
Arkansas St
#114Offense · EPA/play#110
#51Defense · EPA/play#97
#40Explosiveness#121
#117Success rate#75
33%Returning production59%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Troy is hearing

What Arkansas St is hearing

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