Week 4 · College Football

Colorado vs Baylor prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Baylor a 71% chance to beat Colorado in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#85 Big 12 Conference

Colorado

3% to make the 12

@

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBaylor −8.5Model
Projected scoreColorado 22Baylor 30

Baylor is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Colorado

29%

to win

Baylor

71%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Colorado
vs
Baylor
#112Offense · EPA/play#51
#94Defense · EPA/play#83
#8Explosiveness#43
#130Success rate#41
7%Returning production83%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings all-time

Colorado leads 10–7

Last met 2024 · Colorado 3831 BaylorColorado won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Colorado is hearing

What Baylor is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.