#85 Big 12 Conference

Colorado

Projected 5–7 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Colorado win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#67

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Georgia Tech32%
W2vs Weber State96%
W3@ Northwestern33%
W4@ Baylor28%
W5vs Texas Tech13%
W7vs Utah29%
W8@ Oklahoma State37%
W9vs Kansas State31%
W10@ Arizona State27%
W11vs Houston30%
W12@ Cincinnati37%
W13vs UCF58%

Chaos meter33 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas Tech → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 3%
16-team field: 5%
24-team field: 9%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 3% → 3%

Pre 3%Aug 3%

Up next

@ Georgia Tech· W132% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Colorado finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#96

-8.3 · off #103 / def #88

Talent composite

#30

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#37

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#103

EPA / play#112
Success rate#130
Explosiveness#8

Defense#88

EPA / play#94
Success rate#81

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.