Week 3 · College Football

Louisiana Tech vs Baylor prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Baylor a 83% chance to beat Louisiana Tech in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#95 Conference USA

Louisiana Tech

0% to make the 12

@

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBaylor −14.5Model
Projected scoreLouisiana Tech 19Baylor 33

Baylor should handle it: 14.5-point edge, 83% to win.

Chaos meter35 · LEAN
35/ 100
CalmMayhem

Louisiana Tech

17%

to win

Baylor

83%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Louisiana Tech
vs
Baylor
#86Offense · EPA/play#51
#15Defense · EPA/play#83
#72Explosiveness#43
#95Success rate#41
54%Returning production83%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings all-time

Baylor leads 5–1

Last met 1996 · Louisiana Tech 1624 BaylorBaylor won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Louisiana Tech is hearing

What Baylor is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.