#95 Conference USA

Louisiana Tech

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Louisiana Tech win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

<1%

SOS

#78

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Northwestern State91%
W2@ LSU5%
W3@ Baylor16%
W5vs Army36%
W6vs Louisiana54%
W7@ UL Monroe67%
W8vs Old Dominion32%
W9@ South Alabama47%
W10@ Troy40%
W11vs Southern Miss67%
W12vs Arkansas St66%
W13@ GA Southern49%

Chaos meter34 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to LSU → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 2%
Win conference: <1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

vs Northwestern State· W191% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Louisiana Tech finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#77

-1.3 · off #77 / def #68

Talent composite

#116

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#111

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

54%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#77

EPA / play#86
Success rate#95
Explosiveness#72

Defense#68

EPA / play#15
Success rate#19

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

-13

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.