Week 7 · College Football

TCU vs Baylor prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Baylor a 59% chance to beat TCU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#47 Big 12 Conference

TCU

8% to make the 12

@

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBaylor −3.5Model
Projected scoreTCU 24Baylor 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Baylor by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

TCU

41%

to win

Baylor

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
TCU
vs
Baylor
#48Offense · EPA/play#51
#59Defense · EPA/play#83
#50Explosiveness#43
#44Success rate#41
61%Returning production83%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

115 meetings all-time

TCU leads 60–50–5

Last met 2025 · TCU 4236 BaylorTCU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What TCU is hearing

What Baylor is hearing

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