#43 Big 12 Conference
TCU
Projected 7–5 · 6.6 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
8%
Title
0%
Win conf
3%
SOS
#39
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs North Carolina66%
- W2vs Grambling98%
- W3vs Arkansas St88%
- W4@ UCF56%
- W5vs BYU37%
- W7@ Baylor41%
- W8vs West Virginia70%
- W9vs Kansas67%
- W10@ Arizona34%
- W11vs Kansas State44%
- W12vs Utah42%
- W13@ Texas Tech14%
Chaos meter50 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Texas Tech → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 8%
- 16-team field
- 12%
- 24-team field
- 21%
- Win conference
- 3%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond TCU's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG 12
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Texas Tech46%
BYU22%
Utah21%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 49 · Polls 46 · Model 51 · Updated Jun 21, 2026