Week 12 · College Football

Texas Tech vs Baylor prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas Tech a 77% chance to beat Baylor in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#11 Big 12 Conference

Texas Tech

51% to make the 12

@

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas Tech −11.5Model
Projected scoreTexas Tech 32 — Baylor 20

Texas Tech should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

Texas Tech

77%

to win

Baylor

23%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Texas Tech
vs
Baylor
#23Offense · EPA/play#51
#2Defense · EPA/play#83
#31Explosiveness#43
#50Success rate#41
59%Returning production83%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

83 meetings all-time

Baylor leads 42–40–1

Last met 2024 · Texas Tech 35–59 Baylor— Baylor won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Texas Tech is hearing

What Baylor is hearing

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