Week 11 · College Football

Oregon St vs Boise State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 88% chance to beat Oregon St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#119 Pac-12 Conference

Oregon St

1% to make the 12

@

#44 Mountain West Conference

Boise State

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBoise State −18.5Model
Projected scoreOregon St 17 — Boise State 35

Boise State is a heavy favorite — 88% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter23 · CHALK
23/ 100
CalmMayhem

Oregon St

12%

to win

Boise State

88%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Oregon St
vs
Boise State
#121Offense · EPA/play#60
#88Defense · EPA/play#42
#135Explosiveness#36
#68Success rate#86
52%Returning production58%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Oregon St is hearing

What Boise State is hearing

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