Week 12 · College Football
San Diego State vs Boise State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 69% chance to beat San Diego State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#75 Mountain West Conference
San Diego State
2% to make the 12
#44 Mountain West Conference
Boise State
3% to make the 12
The model's read
Boise State is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.
San Diego State
31%
to win
Boise State
69%
to win
Who wins?
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Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksSan Diego StateBoise StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
11 meetings all-timeBoise State leads 6–5
Last met 2025 · San Diego State 17–7 Boise State— San Diego State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat San Diego State is hearing
What Boise State is hearing
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