Week 5 · College Football
Utah State vs Boise State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 81% chance to beat Utah State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#97 Mountain West Conference
Utah State
0% to make the 12
#44 Mountain West Conference
Boise State
3% to make the 12
The model's read
Boise State should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.
Utah State
19%
to win
Boise State
81%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksUtah StateBoise StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
30 meetings all-timeBoise State leads 25–5
Last met 2025 · Utah State 24–25 Boise State— Boise State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Utah State is hearing
What Boise State is hearing
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