Week 7 · College Football

Ball State vs Bowling Green prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Bowling Green a 69% chance to beat Ball State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#136 Mid-American Conference

Ball State

0% to make the 12

@

#125 Mid-American Conference

Bowling Green

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBowling Green −7.5Model
Projected scoreBall State 22 — Bowling Green 30

Bowling Green is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ball State

31%

to win

Bowling Green

69%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ball State
vs
Bowling Green
#133Offense · EPA/play#129
#87Defense · EPA/play#62
#29Explosiveness#68
#136Success rate#127
8%Returning production8%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

31 meetings all-time

Bowling Green leads 21–9–1

Last met 2024 · Ball State 13–38 Bowling Green— Bowling Green won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ball State is hearing

What Bowling Green is hearing

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