Week 4 · College Football

South Florida vs Bowling Green prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives South Florida a 84% chance to beat Bowling Green in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#46 American Athletic Conference

South Florida

5% to make the 12

@

#125 Mid-American Conference

Bowling Green

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouth Florida −15.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Florida 34Bowling Green 18

South Florida should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Florida

84%

to win

Bowling Green

16%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Florida
vs
Bowling Green
#18Offense · EPA/play#129
#30Defense · EPA/play#62
#38Explosiveness#68
#22Success rate#127
100%Returning production8%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

South Florida leads 1–0

Last met 2002 · South Florida 297 Bowling GreenSouth Florida won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Florida is hearing

What Bowling Green is hearing

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