#74 American Athletic Conference
South Florida
Projected 9–3 · 8.6 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
5%
Title
0%
Win conf
10%
SOS
#108
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs FIU84%
- W2@ Army49%
- W3vs Delaware State97%
- W4@ Bowling Green86%
- W5vs Temple81%
- W6@ UTSA45%
- W7vs Kent State95%
- W9vs UAB90%
- W10@ East Carolina48%
- W11vs Memphis62%
- W12@ FAU64%
- W13vs Tulane59%
Chaos meter33 · SIMMERING
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to UTSA → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 5%
- 16-team field
- 7%
- 24-team field
- 19%
- Win conference
- 10%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond South Florida's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the AAC
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Army4%
North Texas4%
Tulane4%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 46 · Polls 37 · Model 51 · Updated Jun 21, 2026