Week 8 · College Football

Bowling Green vs Buffalo prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo a 64% chance to beat Bowling Green in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#125 Mid-American Conference

Bowling Green

0% to make the 12

@

#114 Mid-American Conference

Buffalo

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo −5.5Model
Projected scoreBowling Green 23 — Buffalo 29

Buffalo is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.

Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem

Bowling Green

36%

to win

Buffalo

64%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Bowling Green
vs
Buffalo
#129Offense · EPA/play#113
#62Defense · EPA/play#48
#68Explosiveness#114
#127Success rate#106
8%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

22 meetings all-time

Bowling Green leads 13–9

Last met 2025 · Bowling Green 3–28 Buffalo— Buffalo won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Bowling Green is hearing

What Buffalo is hearing

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