Week 7 · College Football

UMass vs Buffalo prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo a 69% chance to beat UMass in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#130 Mid-American Conference

UMass

0% to make the 12

@

#114 Mid-American Conference

Buffalo

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo −7.5Model
Projected scoreUMass 22Buffalo 30

Buffalo is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

UMass

31%

to win

Buffalo

69%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UMass
vs
Buffalo
#136Offense · EPA/play#113
#128Defense · EPA/play#48
#108Explosiveness#114
#134Success rate#106
76%Returning production66%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UMass is hearing

What Buffalo is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.