Week 11 · College Football

Baylor vs BYU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives BYU a 77% chance to beat Baylor in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#42 Big 12 Conference

Baylor

8% to make the 12

#17 Big 12 Conference

BYU

26% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBYU −11.5Model

Projected scoreBaylor 20 — BYU 32

BYU should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN

46/ 100

CalmMayhem

Baylor

23%

to win

BYU

77%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Baylor

BYU

#51Offense · EPA/play#33

#83Defense · EPA/play#22

#43Explosiveness#106

#41Success rate#27

83%Returning production87%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

5 meetings all-time

BYU leads 3–2

Last met 2024 · Baylor 28–34 BYU— BYU won

via Google News

What Baylor is hearing

What BYU is hearing

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