Week 6 · College Football

Iowa State vs BYU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives BYU a 84% chance to beat Iowa State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#62 Big 12 Conference

Iowa State

4% to make the 12

@

#17 Big 12 Conference

BYU

26% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBYU −15.5Model
Projected scoreIowa State 18 — BYU 34

BYU should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Iowa State

16%

to win

BYU

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Iowa State
vs
BYU
#52Offense · EPA/play#33
#35Defense · EPA/play#22
#89Explosiveness#106
#38Success rate#27
58%Returning production87%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings all-time

Iowa State leads 5–1

Last met 2025 · Iowa State 27–41 BYU— BYU won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Iowa State is hearing

What BYU is hearing

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