Week 11 · College Football

East Carolina vs Charlotte prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives East Carolina a 83% chance to beat Charlotte in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#54 American Athletic Conference

East Carolina

2% to make the 12

@

#131 American Athletic Conference

Charlotte

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadEast Carolina −14.5Model
Projected scoreEast Carolina 33 — Charlotte 19

East Carolina should handle it: 14.5-point edge, 83% to win.

Chaos meter35 · LEAN
35/ 100
CalmMayhem

East Carolina

83%

to win

Charlotte

17%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
East Carolina
vs
Charlotte
#49Offense · EPA/play#134
#16Defense · EPA/play#115
#118Explosiveness#73
#30Success rate#129
51%Returning production24%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Charlotte leads 2–1

Last met 2025 · East Carolina 48–22 Charlotte— East Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What East Carolina is hearing

What Charlotte is hearing

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