Week 4 · College Football

Kansas State vs Cincinnati prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 64% chance to beat Cincinnati in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

@

#59 Big 12 Conference

Cincinnati

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −5.5Model
Projected scoreKansas State 29 — Cincinnati 23

Kansas State is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.

Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas State

64%

to win

Cincinnati

36%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas State
vs
Cincinnati
#37Offense · EPA/play#16
#56Defense · EPA/play#93
#6Explosiveness#32
#92Success rate#21
69%Returning production79%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings all-time

Cincinnati leads 4–3

Last met 2024 · Kansas State 41–15 Cincinnati— Kansas State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas State is hearing

What Cincinnati is hearing

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