Week 3 · College Football

Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Cincinnati a 71% chance to beat Miami (OH) in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#80 Mid-American Conference

Miami (OH)

1% to make the 12

@

#59 Big 12 Conference

Cincinnati

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadCincinnati −8.5Model
Projected scoreMiami (OH) 22 — Cincinnati 30

Cincinnati is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami (OH)

29%

to win

Cincinnati

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami (OH)
vs
Cincinnati
#104Offense · EPA/play#16
#34Defense · EPA/play#93
#93Explosiveness#32
#109Success rate#21
48%Returning production79%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

70 meetings all-time

Cincinnati leads 35–34–1

Last met 2024 · Miami (OH) 16–27 Cincinnati— Cincinnati won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami (OH) is hearing

What Cincinnati is hearing

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