#80 Mid-American Conference

Miami (OH)

Projected 8–4 · 8 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Miami (OH) win? The Ninjas project 8.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

21%

SOS

#125

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Pittsburgh19%
W2vs Holy Cross93%
W3@ Cincinnati27%
W4vs UConn66%
W5vs Bowling Green83%
W6@ UMass76%
W7vs Akron80%
W8@ C Michigan55%
W10vs Buffalo78%
W11vs Ohio70%
W12@ Kent State79%
W13@ W Michigan39%

Chaos meter13 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Pittsburgh → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 1%
16-team field: 2%
24-team field: 5%
Win conference: 21%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 1% → 1%

Pre 1%Aug 1%

Up next

@ Pittsburgh· W119% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Miami (OH) finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#82

-3.4 · off #114 / def #54

Talent composite

#87

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#83

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

48%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#114

EPA / play#104
Success rate#109
Explosiveness#93

Defense#54

EPA / play#34
Success rate#44

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.