Week 10 · College Football

Boise State vs Colorado St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 81% chance to beat Colorado St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#44 Mountain West Conference

Boise State

3% to make the 12

@

#120 Mountain West Conference

Colorado St

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBoise State −13.5Model
Projected scoreBoise State 33 — Colorado St 19

Boise State should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Boise State

81%

to win

Colorado St

19%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Boise State
vs
Colorado St
#60Offense · EPA/play#94
#42Defense · EPA/play#119
#36Explosiveness#86
#86Success rate#103
58%Returning production50%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Boise State is hearing

What Colorado St is hearing

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