Week 10 · College Football

South Florida vs East Carolina prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives East Carolina a 51% chance to beat South Florida in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#46 American Athletic Conference

South Florida

5% to make the 12

@

#54 American Athletic Conference

East Carolina

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadEast Carolina −0.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Florida 26East Carolina 26

A coin flip. The model nudges East Carolina by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Florida

49%

to win

East Carolina

51%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Florida
vs
East Carolina
#18Offense · EPA/play#49
#30Defense · EPA/play#16
#38Explosiveness#118
#22Success rate#30
100%Returning production51%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings all-time

South Florida leads 9–4

Last met 2022 · South Florida 2848 East Carolina (neutral)East Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Florida is hearing

What East Carolina is hearing

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